Publications > Lmi programme > Publications

Development of a national skills forecasting model


Date posted:

2022/11/01

Publication year:

2012

Corporate author/s:

Labour Market Intelligence Partnership (LMIP), Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC) and the Department of Higher Education and Training (DHET)

Person/s author/s:

Chitiga-Mabugu, Margaret; Ngandu, Stewart

Output-type:

working paper

Format:

pdf

This working paper argues that the development of a National Skills forecasting model is necessitated by the need to improve transparency in South Africa's labour markets, the desire to increase the skill level of its population, and the need to understand long term projections that then feed into policy making to inform education and training strategies. The study argues that skills forecasts are needed, not only by policy makers for budget allocations, projections of growth in the economy and education and training planning, but are also needed by the private sector, both industries and households. The concept note first discusses the technical or analytical models and then the policy models of skills supply and demand. After a discussion of the models available for skills forecasting, the policy challenges around efforts to develop such a tool at a national level are discussed. Finally, this work constitutes an extensive review of all aspects of how a national skills forecasting tool could be developed.

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